Biblio

Public External Debt, Capital formation and Economic growth in Ethiopia

TitlePublic External Debt, Capital formation and Economic growth in Ethiopia
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2014
AuthorsKassu, T, Mishra, DK, Asfaw, M
JournalJournal of Economics and Sustainable Development
Volume5
Issue15
ISSN2222-1700
KeywordsCapital formation, Debt distress, Economic Growth, Public External Debt
Abstract

This study examined the nexus between public external debt, Capital formation and economic growth in
economy of Ethiopia during the last recent four decades. The purpose is to identify the existence of cause and
effect relationship between external public debt, Capital formation and Economic growth. To this end, secondary
time serious macroeconomic data for the period under review were collected from ministry of Finance and
Economic Development and African Development Indicators of World Bank data base and analyzed by
qualitative description and quantitative econometric techniques. The result from qualitative and quantitative
analysis has shown that Ethiopia were under serious external debt problem until 1990’s. Its good name was
affected and access to external concessional borrowing window was denied. There were debt overhang,
crowding out and liquidity problems birthed out of unfavorable policy followed by Dergue regime which include
large borrowing from multilateral, bilateral and commercial creditors to finance war, in appropriate
macroeconomic policy and channeling of resources for inefficient public undertakings which led to very low rate
of return. The present government which inherited a mounting debt, fragile macro economy and very unstable
country highly vulnerable to distress and conflict, with the help of IDA and IMF established a stable
macroeconomic environment, adopted comprehensive debt management strategy, utilized available debt relief
optimally, improved debt indicator ratios and brought the country’s external debt from un sustainability to
sustainability. According to the quantitative analysis public external debt as percentage of GDP has a negative
and significant relationship with real GDP in the long run and no significant effect in the short run. On the other
hand external debt as percentage of GDP has positive and significant effect on capital formation in the long run
and negative in the short run.

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